THE 6 MOMENTUM TRADES EVERY TRADER NEEDS TO KNOW (Part 2)
SMB Capital
45,178 views • 7 days ago Save 20 min 4 min read
Video Summary
Momentum trading can rapidly boost profits but often baffles traders. This guide unveils six advanced momentum trades, emphasizing the underlying reasons for their explosive price movements.
The opening drive, characterized by immediate directional imbalance and elevated volume, offers powerful but risky opportunities. Momentum ignition signals a fundamental shift, often triggered by news or significant volume spikes. Squeezes exploit trapped traders, forcing them to cover positions and amplifying price moves. Sympathy momentum leverages sector-wide strength, with one stock's move igniting another's. Failed breakouts into opposite momentum occur when initial expectations reverse dramatically, trapping traders. Finally, exhaustion into momentum reversal sees unsustainable trends flip as demand or supply completely shifts, creating climactic reversals.
Short Highlights
- Opening Drive: Exploits immediate directional imbalance and elevated volume right at the market open.
- Momentum Ignition: Captures explosive moves when a stock breaks out of a range due to a significant change, often signaled by news or volume.
- Squeeze: Leverages trapped traders who are forced to cover their positions, creating amplified buying pressure.
- Sympathy Momentum: Identifies opportunities by observing momentum in related stocks or sectors.
- Failed Break into Opposite Momentum: Capitalizes on situations where an expected breakout fails, trapping traders and reversing the price action.
- Exhaustion into Momentum Reversal: Recognizes unsustainable trends that flip dramatically due to a shift in supply or demand, leading to climactic reversals.
Key Details
Opening Drive Momentum Trade [0:49]
- This trade leverages the urgency and directional imbalance created at the market open.
- It can manifest as a gap and go, opening range breakout, or a first five-minute high break.
- The key is whether the opening auction creates a strong enough directional imbalance for an immediate opportunity.
The defining characteristic of this opening drive momentum strategy or opening drive momentum trade isn't simply that it happened at 932.
Momentum Ignition [3:29]
- This strategy signifies a fundamental change in a stock's behavior, often after a period of ranging.
- It's characterized by a sudden breakout with exploding volume, rapid tape speed, and disappearing offers as bids step higher.
- Pay attention to the opposite end of the range where the momentum ignition might have started with a test that didn't break down.
Momentum ignition signifies that something has changed in the participation and the price actually responds immediately that's what momentum ignition is
The Squeeze [5:23]
- This trade capitalizes on trapped traders, typically short sellers, who are forced to exit their positions as price moves against them.
- Evidence includes quick dips and reclaims on higher volume above key levels, indicating forced buying.
- The mechanism involves trap sellers becoming buyers, creating violent upward moves.
The key source of fuel in a squeeze is the higher time frame positioning there is some group of traders that is that is trapped
Sympathy Momentum or Relative Momentum [7:49]
- This strategy involves looking beyond the individual stock to its sector or related ETFs for trading opportunities.
- A breakout or major move in a sector leader or competitor can signal potential momentum in a less-moved stock within the same group.
- Often, there's a delayed reaction in the sympathy name, offering a potential entry point even if the initial move is missed.
Sometimes the best information about a stock is coming from somewhere else it's coming from the sector maybe the sector leaders breaking out
Failed Break into Opposite Momentum [10:00]
- This trade occurs when a specific momentum event is expected to work but fails, trapping traders who acted on that expectation.
- The key is that traders acted on the expectation of momentum in one direction, and then the price reverses sharply.
- This can be observed on event days like FOMC announcements or CPI releases where expectations are flipped.
The key word is failed we talked about a failed breakout in our other video and some specific momentum event was let's say expected to work in this case and then it didn't
Exhaustion into Momentum Reversal [11:35]
- This strategy identifies unsustainable trends that dramatically flip due to a shift in supply or demand.
- It begins with significant momentum in one direction, characterized by accelerating moves, followed by a complete reversal.
- The underlying mechanism is different from a failed breakout; it involves a climactic move becoming stretched and unsustainable.
Exhaustion begins with a larger amount of momentum carrying it to the upside becoming unsustainable and then that momentum completely flipping