
Jamie Dimon Says Wall St. Crash WORSE THAN 2008 STARTING! w/ David Schroeder
The Jimmy Dore Show
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Video Summary
The discussion highlights warnings from financial leaders about potential economic instability, drawing parallels between current market conditions and the lead-up to the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Concerns are mounting over risky lending practices, particularly in the auto loan sector, and off-balance-sheet financing, reminiscent of past financial meltdowns. Simultaneously, there's a significant shift in investment strategies, with gold increasingly being recommended as a core portfolio holding, moving away from the traditional 60/40 stock-bond allocation. This pivot is driven by factors such as central bank demand for gold, de-dollarization trends, geopolitical risks, and the declining purchasing power of the US dollar. An interesting fact is that central banks are now buying 60% of the gold available on the market
Short Highlights
- Financial leader Jamie Diamond is issuing warnings about the US economy, citing similarities to the conditions before the 2007-2008 financial crisis.
- Specific concerns include the implosion of subprime auto lenders and dealers, such as Tricolar Holdings and First Brands, with reported $2.3 billion in unpaid loans.
- The traditional 60/40 stock-bond portfolio is being challenged, with a growing recommendation to allocate up to 60% of portfolios to precious metals like gold.
- Gold has reached a record high, surpassing $4,300, and is up over 60% year-to-date, driven by central bank demand, de-dollarization, and geopolitical tensions.
- A significant number of retirees are reportedly returning to the workforce due to insufficient savings, with 50% considering it and 20% already having d
Key Details
Economic Warning Signs and Parallels to 2008 [00:00]
- The current economic landscape exhibits signs reminiscent of the period preceding the 2007-2008 financial crisis.
- Jamie Diamond has issued a caution, likening potential emerging economic troubles to "cockroaches," implying that one visible issue suggests others are hidden.
- Examples cited include the implosion of overleveraged entities like Bear Sterns hedge funds in 2007, which preceded a wider financial meltdown.
"My antenna goes up when things like that happen... when you see one cockroach, there are probably more."
Subprime Auto Loans and Risky Lending Practices [01:58]
- A subprime auto lender and dealer, Tricolar Holdings, went bankrupt in September due to risky loans and alleged pervasive fraud.
- This mirrors the issues seen with subprime mortgages that underpinned the 2007-2008 crisis, with the focus now shifted to the auto sector.
- First Brands, a privately owned auto parts supplier, also filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, apparently due to an opaque borrowing scheme involving up to $2.3 billion in unpaid loans, referred to as "off-balance-sheet financing."
The "Cockroach" Analogy and Unforeseen Financial Weaknesses [04:50]
- The simultaneous emergence of financial issues at Tricolar and First Brands, according to Warren Buffett's adage, signifies that hidden weaknesses are revealed when economic conditions change.
- Diamond's "cockroach" analogy refers to companies engaged in risky or questionable practices that are likely to lead to their downfall.
- The speaker notes that many banks were on the brink of collapse in 2007-2008, and similar hidden vulnerabilities exist currently, suggesting more collapses are imminent.
"When the economic times are booming and it's great, nobody knows who's actually exposed until the economic times goes the other way and then you see who's naked."
The National Debt Crisis and its Implications [08:39]
- The national debt is described as a "debt that can never be repaid," with current figures making it unsustainable for future generations.
- A personal theory is presented that the influx of immigrants is intended to service this debt by increasing the tax base.
- The growth of digital and reprogrammable money is also mentioned as an area that could lead to increased financial control and surveillance.
"Our debt problem is a debt that can never be repaid. Who and how will 37.5 trillion dollars ever be repaid?"
Central Banks Divesting from US Treasuries and Embracing Gold [10:07]
- Globally, central banks are divesting from US Treasury bonds, holding more gold instead, signaling a potential loss of confidence in US Treasuries as the bedrock of the monetary system.
- This shift indicates that the dollar's status as the flagship currency for global nations is nearing an end and cannot be sustained.
- Despite budget cuts, deficits continue to rise, with one deficit alone noted at $1.8 billion in a specific area.
"US Treasuries used to be the bedrock of our credit system and of the whole the whole monetary system where our dollar is the is the the flagship for all the nations that's going to come to an end at some point."
The Shift in Investment Strategy: Gold's Ascendance [11:37]
- Gold has experienced a record run, surpassing $4,300, and has risen over 60% since the beginning of the year.
- This performance is prompting strategists to reconsider the traditional 60/40 stock-bond portfolio, with suggestions for a 60/20/20 allocation (60% stocks, 20% fixed income, 20% alternatives like gold and Bitcoin).
- Gold is now viewed as a core holding rather than just a marginal hedge, due to inflation, geopolitical risk, government spending, and high debt loads that diminish the protective value of bonds.
"Gold's record run could usher in biggest change ever to market's classic 6040 stock bond investing portfolio."
The Growing Prominence and Predicted Future of Gold [14:34]
- Central bank demand, de-dollarization, geopolitical tensions, and the debasement of trade are key drivers behind gold's current strength.
- Economists are increasingly suggesting a shift from the 60/40 portfolio to models that include a larger allocation to gold.
- Some predictions forecast gold reaching $7,000 by the end of a specific term, with silver projected to be between $600 to $900.
"We're seeing greater adoption of non-equity non-fixed income products. In this new approach to structuring market exposure, gold is not a hedge on the margins of a portfolio, but one of its core holdings."
Retirees Struggling and the Need for Financial Security [18:37]
- A significant number of retirees who could not retire in 2008 are now finding themselves unable to live on their savings, forcing them back into the workforce.
- Over 30 articles published last year and about 12 this year detail retirees who have had to return to work due to financial strain.
- Approximately 50% of current retirees are considering returning to work, and 20% have already done so, highlighting a "sad state of our economy."
"So, that's another telling picture right there. I mean, there's a a slew of articles of retirees coming out of retirement."
Monetary Gold and Personalized Investment Strategies [20:06]
- Monetary Gold specializes in helping individuals, including retirees and pre-retirees, invest in gold and other precious metals, often within self-directed IRAs.
- They emphasize creating personalized game plans based on individual concerns, such as de-dollarization, BRICS, inflation, and central bank gold purchases.
- The company aims to help clients preserve purchasing power and sustain their ability to live by allocating a portion of their savings to physical assets like gold.
"We help people invest in gold. We help retirees, uh, soon to be retirees and even seniors. What we do is we help take some of that allocation, like you're talking about the 6040, and we help you take and allocate some of that into gold or other precious metals."
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