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The REAL Reason 91% of traders fail (It has nothing to do with their strategy)

The REAL Reason 91% of traders fail (It has nothing to do with their strategy)

SMB Capital

14,610 views 2 days ago Save 25 min 6 min read

Video Summary

Trading success hinges on mastering three distinct skills—idea generation, execution, and performance—not just improving strategy or discipline, according to an expert who has trained traders at a top prop firm. Most traders fail by attempting to fix all three simultaneously with the same methods. Idea generation, finding quality trade setups with clear entry, stop, and target points, is the easiest skill to develop and should be prioritized first. Execution involves the tactical "if-then" statements that govern how a trade is managed, from entry to exit. Performance, the most challenging skill, encompasses the psychological and emotional control required to follow the plan during live trades, which can only be improved through repeated real-risk experience.

Identifying your weakest skill is crucial, as it dictates your trading ceiling. A trader might have excellent ideas but struggle with vague execution rules, leading to inconsistent results, or possess strong idea generation and execution but fail to act on them due to underdeveloped performance. The key to breaking through is to honestly assess which of these three skills is lagging and set one small, specific, testable goal related to that weakness, rather than trying to improve everything at once. True progress comes from accepting sound, process-oriented mistakes as learning opportunities, especially in performance, which develops through consistent, real-money trading.

Short Highlights

  • Trading success depends on three distinct, independent skills: idea generation, execution, and performance.
  • Idea generation involves identifying trade setups with clear entry, stop, and target criteria.
  • Execution translates ideas into action using tactical "if-then" statements and rules.
  • Performance is the psychological ability to follow the plan during live trades.
  • Your weakest skill sets the ceiling for your overall trading results.
  • Focus on improving one specific, lagging skill with targeted, testable goals.
  • Process-oriented mistakes are essential for developing performance through real-risk experience.

Key Details

The Three Pillars of Trading Success [00:00]

  • Traders often fail by trying to fix all three core skills—idea generation, execution, and performance—simultaneously with the same tools.
  • Breakthrough traders are those who identify and strengthen their weakest skill, which acts as their ceiling.

    "the real problem is that trading's actually three completely different skills and almost every developing trader's trying to fix all three at once with the same tool wondering why nothing is really working"

Skill 1: Idea Generation [01:03]

  • This skill is the ability to find high-quality trade setups, characterized by a specific reason for interest, a precise entry trigger, a defined stop-loss point, and a clear target.
  • A trade setup requires all four components to be clearly defined before entering the trade; otherwise, it's just an idea.
  • Idea generation is the easiest skill to improve through study, paper trading, and reviewing past setups, as it requires no real money at risk.

    "a setup has four parts the reason to be interested well something that has to catch your attention right a stock breaking out of range bouncing off a key level or reacting to news"

Skill 2: Execution [03:40]

  • Execution covers all actions taken between the idea and the result: entry, stop placement, position sizing, and scaling plans, all governed by predefined rules.
  • Many perceived psychological problems in execution are actually a lack of clearly defined rules and "if-then" statements.
  • Execution tactics, like "if the market is trending against me, then I won't take the trade," are distinct from the strategy developed during idea generation.

    "if then statements are not in the idea generation phase they're they sit solely in the execution element"

Skill 3: Performance [06:12]

  • Performance encompasses everything that happens internally during a trade: psychology, discipline, self-talk, and following the plan despite emotional pulls.
  • This is the hardest skill to develop and can only be improved through repeated real-risk trading until emotional responses quiet down.
  • It's the gap between knowing what to do (idea generation and execution) and actually doing it.

    "performance is the hardest skill to develop in trading it cannot be shortcut it doesn't respond entirely just to studying it only improves through repetition"

Identifying Your Trading Ceiling [07:55]

  • Your weakest skill dictates your trading ceiling; a strong idea generation with weak execution leads to inconsistent results.
  • Strong idea generation and execution with underdeveloped performance means knowing what to do but not doing it.
  • Understanding which skill is lagging makes sense of trading struggles and directs improvement efforts.

    "whichever of these skills whichever of these skills is the weakest that actually sets the ceiling on everything you can achieve in trading"

Applying the ASSET Protocol to Dell [09:30]

  • The ASSET protocol (Allocation, Stop, Entry, Target) is used to grade setups and transform loose observations into rule-based trades.
  • For Dell, the setup was graded a "B" allocation due to market conditions and earnings reports, dictating a smaller position size.
  • A clear stop was identified below the consolidation low, and entry was defined precisely at the breakout of the consolidation high with volume.

    "the act of running a setup through these four questions is what transforms a loose observation into a graded rule based trade"

The Value of Process Over Outcome [12:21]

  • Running a setup through the ASSET protocol provides a graded process and an "if-then" plan, which is more valuable than a single winning trade.
  • This process raises execution scores and provides data for refining the trading strategy, regardless of the trade's result.
  • The plan, not the outcome, is the standard for a perfect exit; exiting according to plan, even if the stock moves further, is considered perfect execution.

    "it gave me something more valuable than a winning trade it gave me a graded process and if then plan"

Mistake Types and Learning [14:36]

  • Mistake Type 1: Ignoring rules (no setup, no stop, over-sizing) yields no learning because the process wasn't sound.
  • Mistake Type 2: Following a sound process with clean rules, but the trade still loses, provides valuable data for refinement.
  • The best performers are not those who make the fewest mistakes, but those least afraid to make sound, process-oriented mistakes.

    "there are two kinds of mistakes in trading they're absolutely not the same thing"

Developing Performance Through Goals [17:47]

  • Performance develops through repetition and taking real trades, not just studying.
  • Setting small, specific, testable goals related to your weakest skill creates the conditions for flow state and peak challenge.
  • A perfect exit is defined by adhering to the plan, not by the market's subsequent price action.

    "you perform at your best when you're at peak challenge not too easy if it's too easy you just go through the motions and if it's too hard you actually freeze"

Homework: Target Your Weakest Skill [20:55]

  • Honestly identify your weakest trading skill (idea generation, execution, or performance).
  • Set one specific, small goal connected to that weakest skill that the market can test.
  • Consistent improvement in idea generation and execution builds confidence, while performance develops through time and repetition.

    "sit down tonight and be honest with yourself about which of these three is your weakest not which one you wish was better which one's actually the lowest right now"

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