Bull Market Back On?!

Green Season: Profits Soar [0:00]

• The speaker announces the return of the bull market with trades showing massive profits, some up to 70%.
• He emphasizes that it's a "green season" and the bull market is back on.

  "We're talking somewhere even up 50%. Somewhere even up 60%. Let me look right now. 70%."

What to Do Now? Strategy for the Bull Market [0:33]

• The stream's topic is "The bull market's back on. What should we be doing right now?"
• The speaker shares his eight years of experience in crypto trading to guide viewers.
• He stresses the urgency to be "locked in" now, even if entry was missed weeks ago.

  "Now is the time. Like, honestly, you should have been locked in a couple of weeks ago."

Big Picture Analysis: Market Caps and Bitcoin's Path [1:02]

• The discussion will cover total market caps, dominance levels, stable coins, gold, and the S&P 500.
• Bitcoin's relationship to these assets and crypto-related stocks will be examined.
• A key question is whether Bitcoin will retest $73K.

  "We got the total market cap, the total market cap."

Total Market Cap at Resistance [2:08]

• The total crypto market cap has surged back to May highs, now facing significant resistance.
• The speaker notes that "top blasting" big resistance levels, especially on weekly timeframes, is generally not advisable.
• There's uncertainty whether the market will break through resistance or retest support.

  "We're at a big resistance. Okay. So the question is, are you going to be top blasting the big resistance or are you going to be, you know, chilling out, waiting to see what happens?"

Market Outlook: August Bullish, September Bearish? [3:01]

• The speaker's gut instinct is for the total market cap to continue rising without an immediate retest.
• However, he anticipates a bearish September, following a bullish August.
• His thesis predicted a major upward move by late August, followed by a downturn in September.

  "September typically is very bearish. So I do, I wouldn't be surprised if September actually is bearish, even though August is bullish."

Bitcoin Entry Strategy: Phased Allocation [4:25]

• If completely sidelined, the speaker advises immediately allocating 25% of a portfolio.
• He suggests increasing allocation to 75% if Bitcoin drops to $73K, and going all-in at $70K.
• This phased approach aims to capitalize on potential pullbacks while ensuring market participation.

  "Immediately I would put 25% of my portfolio into the markets. Like immediately, I wouldn't even think about it."

Seeking Alpha: Outperforming Bitcoin [5:15]

• The speaker personally looks for assets that can outperform Bitcoin and are closer to major support areas.
• Aster is highlighted as a coin in a significant accumulation zone since February 2026, with potential to catch up to Lighter and Hype.

  "Personally, I look at a lot of different things and I, you know, try to find things that can outperform Bitcoin, right?"

Tao and Lit: Promising Altcoins [6:18]

• Tao was a target at $120, but the speaker now plans to Dollar-Cost Average (DCA) into it.
• Lit is mentioned as a coin that has already seen significant gains (50-70%), with potential for further upside.
• The speaker asks a viewer, Brett, about his entry into Lit.

  "I looked at Tao just today. I noticed Tao is one that I was waiting for 120."

Identifying Outperformers: Hype and ZEC [7:15]

• Hype has been in a bull market since March 2025, indicating strong ongoing momentum.
• ZEC has also shown consistent bullish performance since March.
• The speaker emphasizes finding coins with strong narratives that are poised for significant gains this cycle.

  "The bull market for hype has been here for months, you know, so you could find coins like hype."

Meme Coins and Social Cues: Cash Cat and SPX [8:00]

• Cash Cat, a meme coin on the Robinhood chain, has already seen a 4X increase from its lows.
• SPX is mentioned as a coin that has doubled in price, benefiting from social cues and influencer attention.
• The speaker notes that understanding social cues on platforms like Crypto Twitter is crucial for identifying potential winners.

  "Cash cat, cash cats up. How much is cash cup? Almost three, almost four cash cap is up four X."

Lit and Robinhood Partnership [8:46]

• Lit is highlighted as the decentralized exchange (DEX) Robinhood is using, forming a major partnership.
• This partnership was a key indicator for potential 2-3X gains on Lit.
• The speaker admits to waiting to enter Lit but is still up 60%.

  "Why? Because lit is the decks that Robin hood is using that Robin hood partnered with hype already was shooting up."

Third-Order Thinking and Outperforming BTC [9:30]

• The speaker advocates for "third-order thinking" to identify opportunities beyond simply following Bitcoin.
• He points to Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin by over 30% since June lows as an example.
• The growth of sectors like Real World Assets (RWA) and smart contracts bolsters the case for Ethereum's outperformance.

  "If you would have gotten into Bitcoin, then you would have made a certain amount. If you would have gotten into Ethereum, you would have actually made 30% more."

Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: Strategic Entry [10:38]

• While both Bitcoin and Ethereum are considered for entry on pullbacks, Ethereum is preferred due to its outperformance potential.
• The speaker would set alerts for Ethereum's bullish order block on the ETH/BTC chart.
• However, he notes that Ethereum is currently in "no man's land" above significant resistance, with declining momentum indicators, making immediate entry risky.

  "So then it's like, okay, do I want to get into BTC or Ethereum? Well, I, I want to get into Ethereum."

Dominance Charts: A Shift in Interpretation [11:50]

• Historically, Bitcoin and altcoin dominance charts were key indicators, but their effectiveness has waned recently due to range-bound behavior.
• The speaker now interprets these charts differently within a perceived bull market.
• Rising Bitcoin dominance might signal a shift to altcoins, while falling altcoin dominance at support could indicate an upcoming altcoin rally.

  "I will say though, over the past, I mean, since August of 2025, really, it's, they haven't necessarily been the best, at least for me, to provide much alpha at all."

Altcoin Dominance and Leading Performers [13:19]

• If altcoin dominance falls to major support (35-36%), it signals a strong buying opportunity for altcoins.
• Conversely, if altcoin dominance reaches 60%, it could signal the market top.
• The fact that some altcoins are rising while overall altcoin dominance falls suggests these leaders could surge when the market turns upward.

  "If altcoin dominance comes back down to this level over here to 30, 36%, 35, 36%, then that's an automatic, that's an automatic buy, you know, heavy, heavy, heavy into alts for me."

Identifying Strong Altcoins: Tibber, ZEC, Tao, SPX, Cash Cat [14:15]

• The speaker looks for coins that have been performing well, even within a downward-trending altcoin market.
• He mentions wanting to enter Tibber and ZEC on pullbacks.
• Tao, SPX, and Cash Cat are reiterated as strong contenders, with Cash Cat being a potential high-reward play on the Robinhood chain.

  "There's a couple of coins that I'm in right now. Tibber is one. Of course, Tibber probably missed it if you didn't get in right here."

Graham and Ton Chain Narrative [15:14]

• Graham (Ton coin) is mentioned due to the potential for Telegram's owner, Pavel Durov, to promote it.
• The coin has shown a market structure break, moving from lower highs and lows to a potential higher high and higher low.
• This presents a good risk-to-reward ratio for entry.

  "Graham is what Ton, is the Ton chain, you know, for Telegram."

Treasury Companies: PER and BMNR Outperform [16:00]

• The speaker discusses treasury companies like PER (stock) and BMNR (BitMine) as potential outperformers.
• PER has outperformed Hype, and BMNR has outperformed Ethereum, showing significant gains.
• These companies offer leveraged exposure to the underlying assets, potentially yielding higher returns.

  "And I'm pretty sure it's BMNR that's the levered up ETH, right? So the thing that I noticed, and I'll mention this right now, is that a lot of the times what I've seen is that these these stocks, these treasury companies actually outperform the underlying asset."

Meme Coins and Risk Management [17:30]

• The speaker avoids coins like Melania and Trump coins, deeming them "extractionary."
• He prefers coins with strong fundamentals, uptrends, and clear narratives, contrasting SPX with Melania.
• For low market cap meme coins like Woof Shiba in the Hood, he advocates for placing only 1-5% of the portfolio due to their speculative nature.

  "I want to get into coins that like, I know haven't like, aren't just straight up rug holes like, like Melania or Trump."

Chameleon: A Speculative Play [19:30]

• Chameleon is a speculative play on the Hyperliquid chain, linked to the creator of Hype.
• The speaker is allocating a small percentage of his portfolio based on the potential influence of key figures, similar to Elon Musk's impact on Dogecoin.

  "So you know what? I remember the days where like Elon Musk would talk about Doge coin and it would go up like crazy."

Avoiding "Next BTC" Claims [22:00]

• The speaker expresses skepticism towards coins claiming to be the "next BTC," emphasizing that there is only one Bitcoin.
• He prefers assets with unique identities and strong narratives, like Tao, Hype, and Lighter.

  "There's only one BTC. I want, I want something to have their own thing."

Final Strategy: Risk On with Pullbacks [23:15]

• The speaker reiterates his game plan: wait for pullbacks, especially for Bitcoin.
• He suggests waiting until October for a potential large dump and entry point for Bitcoin.
• The current environment is "risk on" but specifically on pullbacks, with increased personal risk allocation from 1-2% to 5-6%.

  "It's time to be risk on risk on, on pullbacks for sure. Risk on, on pullbacks."